LLM Trading Bot Experiment

Momentum rotation out of the slowest line-item and into a still-building mid-cap trend. • Tape read: WBTC is only +2 % in 24 h with fading turnover, while CRV is +7 % and its volume has almost doubled versus last night – a clear sign fresh money is chasing the move toward the 0.65–0.67 liquidity pocket. • Portfolio fit: WBTC is our smallest, weakest sleeve at 7.3 % of NAV; CRV sits at 16.8 % – well below the 35 % cap – so adding there keeps diversification healthy. • Sizing & risk: Sell 2 000 satoshi (0.00002000 WBTC ≈ $2.15, just 24 % of the 8 342-sat balance and <2 % of NAV). Upside to 0.66 (+4 %) vs. a mental stop below 0.61 (-3 %) gives >1 : 1.3 asymmetry on a tiny clip – acceptable given the position size. • Execution: 2 000 is an integer below the available WBTC units, satisfying the “amount < balance” rule; liquidity on Base pools is deep, so slippage and fees are negligible. Net/net: we recycle capital from the laggard into the stronger momentum line while staying comfortably within all concentration and risk guard-rails.

AERO remains the single-strongest tape on Base: +16.7 % 24 h with turnover still expanding (+54 % vs. the overnight print), signalling sustained real demand. WETH, by contrast, is only +3.4 % and intraday volume has faded sharply, indicating waning incremental buying. Rotating a very small clip keeps capital in the highest-momentum name while risk stays controlled. Sizing & risk: Sell 0.0012 WETH (1 200 000 000 000 000 wei ≈ $3.17) – <11 % of our 0.0110 WETH balance and <3 % of NAV, so the trade is immaterial to slippage/fees and easily within the “amount < balance” rule. Post-trade weights (est.): WETH ↓ to ~21.6 % of NAV; AERO ↑ to ~32.2 % – still comfortably under the 35 % single-asset cap. USDC buffer (≈2.7 % of NAV) is untouched, preserving tactical flexibility. Reward / risk: Immediate upside magnet at 0.90 US$ (+5-6 %) while a mental stop on a rollback below 0.80 (recent consolidation top) limits downside to ≈-4 %, giving >1.3 : 1 asymmetry – acceptable given the tiny notional. Net/net: A low-friction momentum rotation keeps the portfolio fully engaged in the strongest trend without breaching any diversification or risk guard-rails.

Momentum-rotation follow-through. AERO remains the strongest tape on Base – +14.8 % 24 h and still expanding turnover (+50 % vs the midnight print), signalling sustained real demand. By contrast WETH’s advance is stalling: price is only +3.6 % 24 h and hourly volume has collapsed (~-85 % from the overnight peak). Rotating a very small clip out of the cooling large-cap and into the hottest mid-cap keeps capital in the highest expected-return trend while risk stays controlled. Sizing & risk: Sell 0.0012 WETH (1 200 000 000 000 000 wei ≈ $3.16). This is <11 % of our 0.0110 WETH balance, easily satisfying the “amount < balance” rule and far below pool depth, so slippage and gas are negligible. Portfolio impact: WETH weight falls from 23.8 % → ~21.2 % of NAV; AERO rises from 30.0 % → ~32.6 %, still comfortably under the 35 % single-asset cap. Diversification is preserved, the USDC buffer (≈2.7 % of NAV) remains intact for tactical flexibility, and overall exposure stays fully invested in the clearest momentum. Reward/risk: Immediate upside target is the next round-number magnet at 0.90 US$ (+7 %) while a mental stop on a rollback below 0.80 (recent consolidation top) limits downside to ≈-4 %, giving >1.5 : 1 asymmetry. Net/net: a low-friction rotation keeps our money working in the most active opportunity without breaching any risk guard-rails.

WETH’s advance is losing steam – price is +3.8 % since midnight but hourly volume has collapsed (~-85 % from the overnight peak), signalling waning incremental demand. By contrast AAVE continues to press higher highs on rising participation (price +4.7 % and volume +84 % versus the midnight print). A decisive push toward the psychologically important 300 USD level (+4-5 % room) remains the cleanest short-term momentum play on the board, while a relapse below 285 caps near-term downside at ≈-1.5 %, giving ≥3 : 1 reward/risk. Portfolio impact: Selling 0.0008 WETH (800 000 000 000 000 wei ≈ $2.1) trims the WETH sleeve from 25.6 % → ~23.8 % of NAV and lifts AAVE from 17.7 % → ~19.4 %, all well inside the 35 % single-asset guard-rail. Diversification improves and the tiny clip is negligible versus pool depth, so slippage and gas are minimal. The integer amount is safely below the available 11 825 380 442 610 946 wei balance, satisfying the “amount < balance” rule. Net/net: rotate a sliver out of a stalling large-cap into the freshest mid-cap momentum while keeping total risk controlled and capital fully employed.

Rotation out of a slowing large-cap into the freshest mid-cap momentum. WETH is +3.7 % 24 h but its hourly volume has fallen 20 % from the overnight peak, signalling waning incremental demand. By contrast CRV is +6.1 % with volume up ~60 % versus its 24 h median and is pressing the 0.63–0.64 pocket; a push through that shelf opens 0.66–0.67 (+5-6 %), while a failure back below 0.618 caps near-term downside at ≈-2 %. That yields ≥2.5 : 1 reward/risk. Selling 0.001 WETH (1 000 000 000 000 000 wei ≈ $2.64) trims our WETH sleeve from 27.9 % → ~25.5 % of NAV and lifts CRV from 14.8 % → ~17 %, all well inside the 35 % single-asset guard-rail. Trade size is <8 % of the WETH position, far below pool depth, so slippage and gas are negligible. We preserve the 3.27 USDC cash buffer for tactical flexibility while keeping overall diversification intact.

Momentum‐rotation continuation. Mid-caps (AAVE, CRV, AERO) keep outpacing large-caps; BTC is only +1.4 % in 24 h while AAVE is +3.6 % and still knocking on the psychologically important 300 US$ magnet. The tape shows: • Fresh 24 h high at 286.9 (+4 % from the pre-breakout base) • Volume remains >25 % over its 24 h median, confirming real demand Reward/risk: room to 300 (+4.5 %) vs. a tight mental stop below 285 (-0.7 %) gives >6 : 1 asymmetry. Portfolio fit: trimming a sliver of our smallest laggard sleeve (WBTC 7.5 % of NAV) and redeploying into the current leader lifts AAVE from 18.1 % → ≈19 %, still comfortably under the 35 % single-asset ceiling. Diversification is maintained and risk is reduced by taking capital out of the slowest line-item. Sizing & execution: selling 2 000 satoshi (0.00002 WBTC ≈ $2.1) is < 24 % of the 8 342-sat balance, fully satisfying the “amount < balance” rule. Liquidity on the WBTC↔AAVE route is deep, so slippage and gas are negligible for this clip. Net/net: a low-friction rotation keeps capital working in the cleanest momentum breakout while nudging the portfolio further toward higher expected return without breaching any risk guard-rails.

AAVE remains the cleanest momentum play on the board: +4 % since midnight, hourly volume still ~30 % above its 24 h median, and the round-number magnet at 300 US$ (+4-5 % further) is now in sight. A relapse below the former 285 breakout shelf caps near-term downside at ≈-1.5 %, giving ≥2.5:1 reward/risk. Portfolio fit: WETH is our largest sleeve at ~30 % of NAV; trimming a tiny 0.0008 WETH (≈ $2.1, only 5.9 % of the position) lowers that weight to ~28 % while lifting AAVE from 16.3 % → ~18 %. Diversification improves and no asset breaches the 35 % cap. USDC (≈2.7 % of NAV) is preserved for flexibility. Execution: 0.0008 WETH = 800 000 000 000 000 wei, well below the 13 625 380 442 610 946 wei balance, satisfying the “amount < balance” rule. WETH↔AAVE liquidity on Base is deep, so slippage and gas are negligible. Net/net: a low-friction rotation moves a sliver of capital out of a slower-moving large-cap and into the strongest active breakout, enhancing expected return while keeping risk tightly controlled.

Relative-strength rotation. Mid-caps on Base (AERO, CRV, AAVE) continue to outpace large-caps; in the last 11 h CRV has rallied +4.2 % on a 50 % jump in turnover, while BTC is only +1.2 %. Our WBTC sleeve (≈10 % of NAV) is the slowest line-item. Trimming 3 000 sat (0.00003 WBTC ≈ $3.20, < 11 342-sat balance) frees capital to redeploy into the stronger CRV trend without breaching any concentration limits: • WBTC weight falls to ~7.4 % • CRV rises to ~14.8 % – still well under the 35 % cap Risk/Reward: CRV’s next liquidity pocket sits at 0.64 (+3 %) with a mental stop below 0.61 (-1.5 %), giving ≥2:1 asymmetry. Trade size is tiny relative to pool depth, so slippage and gas are negligible. The integer 3 000 respects WBTC’s 8-decimal format and the “amount < balance” rule. Net/net: we shift idle capital from a laggard into the freshest momentum while maintaining diversification and a small USDC buffer for agility.

BTC has lagged the broad-based alt-coin push all morning (+1.9 % 24 h versus 4–9 % for ETH, AAVE, CRV, AERO). Hourly momentum remains tepid while mid-caps continue to attract fresh volume. AAVE, in particular, is still the cleanest breakout on the board—printing higher highs with volume >25 % above its 24 h median and a clear technical magnet at the psychological 300 US$ level (+4-5 % room). Downside to the former 285 breakout shelf is ≈-1.5 %, giving ≥2.5:1 reward/risk. Portfolio impact: selling just 0.00005 WBTC (5 000 sat ≈ $5.35) trims the WBTC sleeve from 14.6 % → ≈10 % of NAV while lifting AAVE from 11.8 % → ≈14.4 %. All positions remain well inside the 35 % single-asset cap, and we preserve a 2.7 % USDC cash buffer for agility. Execution: 5 000 satoshi = 0.00005 WBTC; with 8-decimals precision the integer amount is 5 000, comfortably below our 16 342-sat balance. Liquidity in the WBTC↔AAVE route on Base is deep, so slippage and gas are negligible. Net/net: a low-friction rotation moves capital out of a stalling large-cap and into the strongest active breakout, improving expected return without materially increasing risk.

AAVE’s breakout leg remains the hottest mid-cap momentum on the board: +5.6 % 24 h and still printing higher highs with hourly volume >25 % above its 24 h median. The next magnet is the psychological 300 US$ level (+4-5 % from 287), while a failed break back under 285 caps near-term downside at ≈-1.5 %, giving a >2.5:1 reward/risk. Our portfolio is top-heavy in WETH (≈32 % of NAV). Rotating a sliver of that winner frees risk and adds to the fresher trend without spending scarce USDC (only 2.7 % cash left). Trade details • Sell 0.001 WETH (1 000 000 000 000 000 wei ≈ $2.63) — well below the 0.0146 WETH balance and satisfying the “amount < balance” rule. • Buy AAVE with the proceeds. Post-trade weights (est.) • WETH ↓ to ~30 % (comfortably under 35 % cap) • AAVE ↑ to ~12 % • Cash buffer preserved at ~2.7 % Slippage and gas are negligible on this clip in Base liquidity pools. Net/net: a low-friction risk-trim funds the strongest breakout, improves diversification, and keeps capital fully engaged.

Portfolio is again slightly above the 35 % single-asset guard-rail in AERO (35.2 % of NAV after another +11 % day). Meanwhile AAVE’s breakout that we’ve been scaling into remains strong: price just tagged 289.5 USD (+6 % 24 h) and hourly volume is still >25 % above its 24 h median, pointing toward the psychologically important 300 zone (+3-4 % further). Rotating ~8 AERO (≈ $6.6) into AAVE accomplishes three objectives in one low-friction move: • Risk-trim: drops the AERO sleeve to ~29.8 % of NAV, comfortably back inside limits. • Opportunistic add: lifts AAVE to ~9.6 % of NAV, keeping capital in the freshest mid-cap momentum. • Rebuilds flexibility: because the cross-swap avoids spending scarce USDC (only 2.7 % of NAV left), a healthy ~3 USDC cushion stays intact for tactical pivots. The size (8 × 10¹⁸ wei) is <16 % of the 5.17 × 10¹⁹-wei AERO balance, satisfying the “amount < balance” rule, and the clip is tiny versus pool depth so slippage and fees are negligible. Reward/risk: AAVE 300 target (+3-4 %) vs a mental stop back below 285 (-1.5 %) offers ≥2 : 1 asymmetry while de-risking an over-extended winner.

AAVE continues to print the cleanest fresh-momentum signal on the board: price has advanced another 4.9 % since midnight (274 → 288 USD) and hourly volume is running ~30 % above the 24 h median, confirming genuine demand rather than a thin uptick. The move pushes decisively through the former 280 resistance and opens the psychologically important 300 zone (+4 %). A relapse below the breakout level (≈285) limits near-term downside to ~1 %, giving attractive ≥3-to-1 reward/risk. Portfolio impact: our AAVE sleeve is only 2.5 % of NAV. Deploying 2 USDC (2 000 000 micro-USDC < 5 274 156 balance) lifts it to ~4.1 % while leaving a ~3.27 USDC buffer (≈2.7 % of NAV) for ongoing flexibility. All other single-asset weights remain well inside the 35 % cap (AERO 34.4 %, WETH 32.0 %, WBTC 14.6 %, CRV 12.0 %). Execution & risk: USDC↔AAVE liquidity on Base is deep; a $2 clip incurs negligible slippage and gas. The integer amount 2 000 000 respects USDC’s 6-decimal standard and is safely below our available balance, fully satisfying the “amount < balance” rule. Net/net: a modest rotation puts idle dollars to work in the strongest current breakout, enhances diversification, and preserves sufficient cash for opportunistic re-deployments.

Fresh momentum breakout in AAVE is the cleanest new signal this hour. Price has pushed through the prior 280‐USD ceiling (274 → 285, +3.7 % in 6 h) on a parallel 26 % rise in hourly volume, indicating genuine demand rather than a thin uptick. The next liquidity pocket sits near the round-number magnet at 300 (+5 %), while downside to a failed breakout and return below 278 is ≈-1.5 %, giving attractive 3-to-1 asymmetry. Portfolio fit: Our current sleeve in AAVE is effectively zero (<0.01 % of NAV). Deploying 3 USDC (3 000 000 micro-USDC < 8 274 156 balance) lifts AAVE to ~2.5 % of NAV, improving diversification without pushing any single asset above the 35 % cap. Post-trade weights (est.): AERO 34.4 %, WETH 31.8 %, WBTC 14.6 %, CRV 11.8 %, AAVE 2.5 %, USDC 4.4 % — still a healthy cash buffer we can rebuild via trims if needed. Execution & risk: USDC↔AAVE liquidity on Base is sufficient for a $3 clip, so slippage and gas are negligible. The integer 3 000 000 respects USDC’s 6-decimal standard and is well below the available balance, fully satisfying the “amount < balance” rule. Net/net: A small, low-friction rotation puts idle dollars to work in a fresh breakout with favourable reward/risk, while enhancing overall diversification and maintaining tactical flexibility.

Fresh follow-through in CRV is the clearest actionable signal this hour. Price has advanced another 2.1 % in the last five hours (0.595 → 0.6076) while hourly volume has climbed ~27 %, confirming real demand rather than a thin uptick. The 0.61 level—reclaimed overnight—now acts as support; the next liquidity pocket sits at 0.63-0.64 (+3-5 %). Downside to a clean break of 0.602 is ≈-1 %, giving attractive 3-to-1 asymmetry. Portfolio fit: Our CRV sleeve is 9.5 % of NAV. Deploying 3 USDC (3 000 000 micro-USDC < 11 274 156 balance) lifts it to ≈12 % while the USDC buffer only dips from 9.6 % → about 7 %, keeping ample dry powder. All single-asset weights remain comfortably under the 35 % cap (AERO ≈34 %, WETH ≈32 %, WBTC ≈15 %). Execution & risk: The USDC/CRV pool on Base is deep; a $3 clip incurs negligible slippage or gas. The integer 3 000 000 respects USDC’s 6-decimal standard and is well below the available balance, fully satisfying the “amount < balance” rule. Net/net: Adding modestly to the strongest fresh-momentum mid-cap improves diversification and offers a clean, low-friction reward/risk edge this hour.

Fresh momentum follow-through in CRV: price has advanced 1.4 % (0.595 → 0.603) in the last four hours with a parallel 23 % uptick in hourly volume, reclaiming the mid-range pivot and pointing toward the next liquidity pocket at 0.63–0.64 (+4-6 %). Downside to the reclaimed 0.595 shelf is ≈-1.3 %, giving a clean 3-to-1 reward/risk. Portfolio impact: Deploying 3 USDC (3 000 000 micro-USDC < 14 274 156 balance) raises the CRV sleeve from $8.13 → ≈$11.13 (~9.4 % of NAV) while the USDC buffer only dips from 12.2 % → ≈9.7 %, preserving ample dry powder. All single-asset weights remain comfortably beneath our 35 % cap (AERO ≈34 %, WETH ≈32 %, WBTC ≈15 %). Risk control: Order size is modest, liquidity in the USDC/CRV pool on Base is deep, so slippage and fees are negligible. The integer 3 000 000 respects USDC’s 6-decimal standard and is well below the available balance, fully honoring the “amount < balance” rule. Net/net: A small, low-friction rotation keeps capital working in the freshest momentum theme while improving diversification and maintaining a robust cash buffer.

Risk-management trim and momentum rotation. AERO has crept slightly above our 35 % single-asset guard-rail (35.6 %). Selling a very small clip – 3 AERO (3 × 10¹⁸ wei ≈ $2.28 at $0.7605) – brings the sleeve back to ~33.7 % of NAV while keeping core exposure to the strongest trend on Base. The proceeds are routed straight into CRV, which is flashing a fresh short-term momentum signal: price has just reclaimed 0.61 after a 2.6 % three-hour pop and 20 % volume uptick, with the next liquidity pocket sitting at 0.63-0.64 (+3-5 %). Downside to the reclaimed 0.595 shelf is ~-2 %, giving acceptable 1.5-to-2 : 1 asymmetry on a liquid mid-cap. Portfolio impact: AERO weight falls to ~33.7 %; CRV rises from 5.1 % → ~7 %, improving diversification. USDC, WETH and WBTC weights stay intact and the overall cash buffer remains >12 % for agility. Execution: 3 × 10¹⁸ wei is far below the 5.47 × 10¹⁹-wei AERO balance, satisfying the “amount < balance” rule. AERO/CRV routing via the Base DEX aggregator is deep, so slippage and gas are negligible for a ~$2.3 clip. Net/net: a micro-trim of an over-weight winner funds a probe in a fresh momentum breakout, enhancing risk balance and keeping capital working efficiently.

WETH’s latest grind higher has pushed its weight to 35.6 % of NAV—slightly above our 35 % cap—while CRV is starting to show fresh relative-strength (0.595 → 0.602 in two hours on a 9 % volume uptick). The chart points to a near-term target at 0.62-0.63 (+3-5 %) with a tight stop below the reclaimed 0.595 shelf (-1 %), offering attractive asymmetry. Selling a modest 0.0015 WETH ($≈3.8) and routing it into CRV: (a) drops the WETH sleeve to ~32 % (back under the limit), (b) lifts CRV from 1.7 % to roughly 5 % of NAV, enhancing diversification, and (c) leaves the USDC buffer intact for flexibility. The integer 1 500 000 000 000 000 wei is well below the 16 125 380 442 610 946 wei balance, fully satisfying the “amount < balance” rule; liquidity on Base is deep, so price impact and gas should be negligible.

Primary signal – early momentum shift in CRV. After lagging the market all day (-0.04 % 24 h), CRV just printed a higher hourly close (0.595 → 0.597, +0.3 %) accompanied by a 3 % uptick in volume (76.4 M → 78.9 M). This combination of a small price inflection off a depressed base and rising turnover often precedes a mean-reversion pop toward the next liquidity pocket at 0.61-0.62 (+2-4 %). Downside to the 0.59 intraday floor is ≈-1 %, giving a clean 2-3 : 1 reward-to-risk. Portfolio fit – diversification without sacrificing liquidity. We currently have heavy twin allocations in WETH (35.7 %) and AERO (35.1 %), with WBTC at 15 % and USDC at 14.2 %. Deploying just 2 USDC (2 000 000 micro-USDC < 16 274 156 balance) lifts CRV from near-zero to ~1.7 % of NAV, nudging the book toward better balance while keeping the cash buffer a healthy ~12 %. All single-asset weights remain comfortably under our informal 35 % ceiling. Execution & risk. The USDC/CRV pool on Base is liquid; a $2 clip incurs negligible slippage or gas. The integer amount 2 000 000 respects USDC’s 6-decimal standard and is well below the available balance, fully satisfying the “amount < balance” rule. A tight stop can be mentally set below 0.59, limiting downside to ~1 %. Net/net – a small, low-friction probe into a fresh momentum turn in CRV offers attractive asymmetry and improves portfolio diversification, while preserving tactical flexibility.

Primary signal: ETH continues to exhibit relative-strength versus BTC (ETH +0.55 % vs BTC +0.07 % over 24 h) and is pressing the upper edge of the two-day 2 500–2 550 consolidation. A decisive push through 2 550 typically opens room to the psychological 2 600 level (+2 %). Hourly turnover, while not explosive, remains firm and above the 24 h median, indicating steady demand rather than exhaustion. Risk / reward: Downside to a clean break of the 2 500 support is ≈-1.8 % (-$0.04 on a $2 clip) while upside to 2 600 is +2 % (+$0.04), acceptable for a highly liquid large-cap and consistent with our mandate for frequent, low-friction trades. Portfolio fit: Deploying 2 USDC (2 000 000 micro-USDC < 18 274 156 balance) raises the WETH sleeve from $39.08 → ≈$41.06, nudging its weight from 33.8 % → ~34.9 %—still inside our 35 % single-asset guideline. USDC drops from 15.8 % → ~13.9 %, leaving a healthy cash buffer. AERO falls back below 35 % (≈34.9 %) through NAV expansion, restoring perfect compliance with diversification rules, while WBTC stays ~14.7 %. Execution / risk: USDC↔WETH liquidity on Base is deep; a $2 order incurs negligible slippage and gas. The integer 2 000 000 respects USDC’s 6-decimal standard and is well below the available balance, fully satisfying the “amount < balance” rule. This modest rotation keeps capital working in the strongest large-cap trend while maintaining prudent risk limits and portfolio flexibility.

Primary signal: ETH continues to show steady relative-strength versus BTC (+0.7 % vs –0.1 % over 24 h). Price is pressing the 2 550 band after grinding higher all evening (2 533 → 2 545) on incremental volume upticks, suggesting an imminent push toward the psychological 2 600 level (+2 %). Risk / Reward: Downside to a clean break of the 2 500 support is ≈–1.8 % (–$0.34 on a $0.75 clip) while upside to 2 600 is +2 % (+$0.15), acceptable on a highly liquid large-cap and consistent with our mandate for frequent, low-friction trades. Portfolio fit: Deploying 0.75 USDC (well under the 18.27 USDC balance) raises the WETH sleeve from $39.04 → ≈$39.80, nudging its weight to ~35.0 %—still inside the 35 % single-asset ceiling. The USDC buffer only dips from 16.1 % → ~15.4 %, leaving ample dry powder. Diversification remains healthy: AERO 34.5 %, WBTC 15 %, USDC 15 %. Execution / risk: USDC↔WETH liquidity on Base is deep; the $0.75 order incurs negligible slippage and gas. The integer 0.750000000000000000 respects USDC decimals and is well below the available balance, satisfying the “amount < balance” rule. A small add keeps the capital working in the strongest large-cap trend while maintaining prudent risk limits and portfolio flexibility.